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Trade Signal

提供可执行的买入/卖出/持有建议的实时交易信号。当被问及交易决策、股票分析、技术分析、买入/卖出条件时使用。

介绍

# Trade Signal

面向 AI 智能体的买入/卖出/持有交易信号。将复杂的市场情报转化为针对全球股票及其他公开证券的清晰、可执行的买入/卖出/持有建议。交易信号为任何特定证券提供具体的目标价格、实时数据以及机构级别的交易论点。交易信号具有前瞻性,同时也具备对当前/历史价格行为的技术面和基本面分析能力,并能定性及定量地解释为何某只证券(股票)价格会如此波动。

## 快速开始

```bash # Get trade signal for a stock ./scripts/search.sh "Should I buy NVDA?"

# Get signal with full analysis ./scripts/search.sh "Is AAPL a sell at current levels?"

# Check multiple tickers ./scripts/search.sh "AAPL NVDA TSLA MSFT"

# Earnings play analysis ./scripts/search.sh "What's the best trade ahead of NVDA's upcoming earnings? Give me specific options strategy with prices." ```

**Base URL:** `https://app.terminal-x.ai/api`

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## 功能特性

### 📊 交易信号能力

| 查询类型 | 示例 | |------------|----------| | **交易决策** | 买入/卖出/持有指令,进出场时机,仓位规模 | | **财报策略** | 财报前布局,财报后反应,历史规律 | | **价格催化剂** | 推动股价的因素,宏观事件,技术面触发点 | | **分析师行动** | 上调/下调评级,目标价变更,投资论点 | | **技术分析** | 支撑/阻力位,波动率,动量指标 | | **风险评估** | 止损水平,下行情景,风险回报分析 |

#### 每个响应包含:

- **Signal (信号)**:明确的 BUY / SELL / HOLD / AVOID 建议及时间跨度(T+1, T+5 等) - **Technicals (技术面)**:入场、出场、止损以及支撑/阻力区间 - **Answer (回答)**:驱动交易论点的宏观、技术面和情绪因素 - **Tickers (代码)**:主要代码及相关 ETF 和关联工具 - **Sources (来源)**:编号引用 [1], [2], [3],链接至华尔街研报、SEC 文件和市场数据

### 📈 市场覆盖范围

**37,565 个全球股票代码 + 6,104 个 ETF**,覆盖所有主要交易所:

| 地区 | 股票代码 | ETFs | |--------|---------|------| | **美国** (含 ADR) | 7,301 | 4,979 | | **西欧** | 11,123 | — | | **加拿大** | 4,690 | — | | **日本** | 3,873 | 200 | | **韩国** | 3,856 | 500 | | **香港** | 2,638 | 176 | | **上海** | 2,315 | — | | **台湾** | 1,072 | 200 | | **新加坡** | 565 | 49 | | **其他** | 132 | — |

**资产类别**:全球股票、ETFs、全球宏观、外汇、大宗商品、加密货币内容。

### 🔬 数据来源

- **华尔街研报** — 来自高盛、摩根士丹利、摩根大通、花旗、瑞银(UBS)、美银、Stifel 等机构的分析师报告和投资论点。 - **分析师行动** — 上调评级、下调评级、首次覆盖、目标价调整 - **SEC 文件** — 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, 内部交易, 13F 持仓, 13D, 13G, DEF14A,以及在 EDGAR 上提交的所有文件 - **电话会议记录** — 财报电话会议、并购会议、管理层讨论、电话会议、投资者日会议等的实时记录。 - **实时新闻** — 彭博、路透社、CNBC、金融时报、华尔街日报 - **公司文件** — 公司新闻稿、财报材料、公司演示文稿、投资者日材料、指引更新、公司财务报表及补充材料

---

## 响应格式

运行脚本将返回 JSON:

```json { "query": "Should I buy NVDA before earnings?", "tickers": ["NVDA", "AMD", "GOOGL"], "tradeSignal": "HOLD", "priceTarget": { "entry": null, "exit": "$185-190", "stopLoss": "$175", "timeHorizon": "T+1 to T+3" }, "agentAnswer": "**Hold current position: Sell at $185-190 on any post-earnings bounce within T+1 to T+3.** NVDA closed at $181.36 and trades at $180.88 after hours. Despite consistent earnings beats since August 2024, the stock has exhibited a persistent sell-the-fact pattern, declining in 4 of the last 5 post-earnings sessions. [1] Options markets price a 6.68% implied move ($12.13 swing) for the November 19 after-hours release. [2]", "sources": [ { "refId": 1, "sourceTitle": "Nvidia Earnings Have Become a Consistent Sell-the-Fact Event", "sourceName": ["Bloomberg"], "datePublished": "2024-11-18T14:30:42Z" }, { "refId": 2, "sourceTitle": "NVDA Options Implied Move Analysis", "sourceName": ["Goldman Sachs"], "datePublished": "2024-11-19T09:00:00Z" } ], "technicals": { "rsi": 62.4, "macd": "bullish crossover", "support": "$175", "resistance": "$190", "trend": "neutral" }, "relatedAnalysis": [ "AMD earnings correlation", "Semiconductor sector momentum" ] } ```

| 字段 | 描述 | |-------|-------------| | `query` | 您的原始问题 | | `tickers` | 相关的股票代码 | | `tradeSignal` | BUY, SELL, 或 HOLD 建议 | | `priceTarget` | 入场价、出场价、止损、时间跨度 | | `agentAnswer` | 带有引用参考 [1], [2] 的 AI 分析 | | `sources` | 包含标题、来源名称、日期的引用 | | `technicals` | RSI, MACD, 支撑/阻力, 趋势 | | `relatedAnalysis` | 相关研究主题 |

---

## 示例输出

### 示例 1:带交易决策的催化剂分析 **Query:** `./scripts/search.sh "What's driving the fall in silver prices? Identify all the catalysts and make a trade decision for tomorrow."`

``` 📊 **Silver Price Decline: Catalyst Analysis**

**Signal: AVOID** | Time Horizon: T+1 Related: SLV (-28.54%), SI (-0.77%), XAGUSD (+2.58%)

Silver has entered bear market territory after falling nearly 22% from its recent record high, driven by a confluence of macro and technical factors. [1][2]

**Macro Catalysts:** - President Trump's announcement of Kevin Warsh as Fed pick eased concerns about Fed independence, triggering a sharp dollar rally [7][10] - Repricing underway with assumption that smaller Fed balance sheet would tighten financial conditions [8] - Declining capital leakage from China — more capital returning to China, affecting precious metals where sentiment is currently driving prices [7][9]

**Technical Catalysts:** - Parabolic run with 14% intraday surge showed clear blowoff top pattern [1][9] - One-month volatility surged above 96%, steepest level in nearly 25 years [7][10][12] - Inverted volatility curve signals traders anticipate further unwinding [7][10][12] - CME raised margin requirements to 11% from 9% — familiar late-cycle signal that speculative excess is being wrung out [5][8][13]

**Valuation:** Current price ($86.62) trades significantly above 200-day MA of $48/oz, indicating deeply overbought conditions. Analysts estimate fair value around $60/oz. JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic suggests silver should trade at half its current price later in 2026. [14][16][18][20][21][22][23]

**Trade Decision:** Avoid purchasing silver for tomorrow. Market likely to continue unwinding speculative positions. Wait for stabilization at $75-$80 support zone before considering new long positions. [3][11]

**Sources:** [1] Bloomberg News: Silver Bear Market Entry [2] Goldman Sachs Precious Metals Weekly Report [7] Bloomberg Terminal — Silver Volatility Analysis [10] Reuters — Fed Policy Impact on Dollar [16] JPMorgan Research Note — Precious Metals Outlook [21] CME Group — Margin Requirement Update ```

### 示例 2:带有持有建议的目标价

**Query:** `./scripts/search.sh "Give me a clear buy/sell/hold call and an optimal target price for T+5."`

``` 📊 **Silver Trade Signal: 5-Day Outlook**

**Signal: HOLD** | Target Range: $80-$90 | Time Horizon: T+5

Silver has experienced extreme volatility with current price at $86.31, following intraday high of $88.00 and low of $77.00 today. [1]

**Technical Summary:** - 1-Month Volatility: >96% (extreme) - Volatility Curve: Steeply inverted — traders anticipate further unwinding [5] - Gold/Silver Ratio: Below 50 (stretched outperformance vs gold) [7][17] - Support: $83-$85 (larger retracement) | Resistance: $93.50-$96.00 [9]

**Historical Pattern:** In six prior instances since 1970 where silver doubled in 40 days and rose over 10% in a single day, prices were lower 20 days later. This suggests caution, but immediate sustained crashes are not guaranteed. [16]

**Bullish Factors (Long-term):** - Structural supply deficit from solar, EVs, and data centers [7][3] - Physical demand from China and India remains strong [1][5][8] - Shanghai silver futures trading at premium to global spot [1][5][8]

**Bearish Factors (Short-term):** - CME margin hike to 11% forcing speculative liquidation [10] - Risk-reward completely skewed at current levels [14][11] - "Meme trader" phenomenon contributing to volatility [9]

**Trade Decision:** HOLD for next 5 trading days. Consolidation phase likely after correction from peak near $120.60. Target $80-$90 reflects stabilization period with potential for minor upward corrections within volatile environment.

**Sources:** [1] Silver Spot Market Data — February 1, 2026 [5] CME Group — Volatility Curve Analysis [7] Bloomberg — Gold/Silver Ratio Report [9] Reuters — Silver Market Dynamics [14] Bank of America — Precious Metals Valuation [16] Historical Precious Metals Database — Pattern Analysis

```

### 示例 3:分析师覆盖

**Query:** `./scripts/search.sh "What are analysts saying about NVIDIA?"`

``` 📊 **NVIDIA Analyst Sentiment**

Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on NVIDIA with 45 Buy ratings, 3 Hold, and 0 Sell. Average price target: $950 (18% upside). [1]

**Recent Actions:** - Goldman Sachs: Reiterated Buy, PT $1,000 — "AI infrastructure spend remains in early innings" [2] - Morgan Stanley: Overweight, PT $950 — Raised estimates on Blackwell demand visibility [3] - Bank of America: Buy, PT $925 — "Data center TAM expansion continues to exceed expectations" [1]

Key debate centers on sustainability of 70%+ gross margins as competition from AMD MI300X intensifies in 2025. [3]

**Sources:** [1] Bloomberg Analyst Consensus Data - January 2025 [2] Goldman Sachs NVDA Initiation Report - January 15, 2025 [3] Morgan Stanley Semiconductor Research Note - January 12, 2025 ```

---

## 集成

### 与 AI 智能体集成

当被问到以下问题时,智能体将自动使用此技能: - "Should I buy NVDA?" - "What's your call on AAPL?" - "Sell or hold TSLA?" - "Give me a trade signal for META" - "Is now a good entry for AMD?" - "Analyze GOOGL before earnings" - "What are analysts saying about MSFT?" - "Best tech stocks to buy right now"

### 智能体流程示例

``` 1. User: "How is NVIDIA doing?" 2. Agent: [calls search.sh "NVIDIA financial performance and outlook"] 3. Agent: "NVIDIA reported record Q3 revenue of $35.1B, up 94% YoY. Data center segment drove growth at $30.8B. Analysts maintain Buy ratings with average PT of $950. Key catalyst: Blackwell architecture ramp in Q1 2025." 4. User: "What about their margins?" 5. Agent: [calls search.sh "NVIDIA gross margin and profitability"] 6. Agent: "Gross margin was 75% in Q3, up from 70% YoY. Management expects margins to moderate to 73-74% as Blackwell ramps due to initial yield curves, per CFO commentary on earnings call." ```

### 与其他技能结合

```bash # Get financial data then execute trade ./scripts/search.sh "AAPL earnings analysis" && trade-signal query "Should I buy AAPL?"

# Research before news check ./scripts/search.sh "Tesla delivery numbers" && finance-news news TSLA ```

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## 获取更好结果的技巧

| 建议做法 | 避免做法 | |---------|----------| | "NVIDIA data center revenue Q4 2024" | "NVIDIA revenue" | | "AAPL gross margin vs MSFT" | "Apple margins" | | "What did Jensen Huang say about AI demand" | "NVDA CEO comments" | | "Tesla deliveries Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023" | "Tesla cars" |

**最佳实践:** - **具体明确** — 包含时间范围、指标和公司名称 - **使用股票代码** — "AAPL" 比 "Apple" 更清晰 - **直接提问** — 使用 "What is..." 或 "How much..." 可获得精确答案 - **包含背景** — 如 "last quarter"(上一季度)、"FY 2024"(2024 财年)、"year-over-year"(同比)

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## 错误处理

```json { "code": 400, "message": "Missing or invalid query parameter" } ```

| 错误代码 | 含义 | 解决方法 | |------------|---------|------------| | 400 | 缺少查询 | 包含 `?query=` 参数 | | 500 | 服务器错误 | 重试请求 |

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## 支持

- **Homepage:** https://terminal-x.ai - **Email:** [email protected]

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