Breadth Chart Analyst

# Breadth Chart Analyst

## Overview

This skill enables specialized analysis of two complementary market breadth charts that provide strategic (medium to long-term) and tactical (short-term) market perspectives. Analyze breadth chart images to assess market health, identify trading signals based on backtested strategies, and develop positioning recommendations. All thinking and output are conducted exclusively in English.

## Core Principles

1. **Dual-Timeframe Analysis**: Combine strategic (Chart 1: 200MA Breadth) and tactical (Chart 2: Uptrend Ratio) perspectives 2. **Backtested Strategy Focus**: Apply proven systematic strategies based on historical patterns 3. **Objective Signal Identification**: Focus on clearly defined thresholds, transitions, and markers 4. **English Communication**: Conduct all analysis and generate all reports in English 5. **Actionable Recommendations**: Provide specific positioning guidance for different investor types

## Chart Types and Purposes

### Chart 1: S&P 500 Breadth Index (200-Day MA Based)

**Purpose**: Medium to long-term strategic market positioning

**Key Elements**: - **8-Day MA (Orange Line)**: Short-term breadth trend, primary entry signal generator - **200-Day MA (Green Line)**: Long-term breadth trend, primary exit signal generator - **Red Dashed Line (73%)**: Average peak level - market overheating threshold - **Blue Dashed Line (23%)**: Average 8MA trough level - extreme oversold, excellent buying opportunity - **Triangles**: - Purple ▼ = 8MA troughs (buy signal when reverses) - Blue ▼ = 200MA troughs (major cycle lows) - Red ▲ = 200MA peaks (sell signal) - **Pink Background**: Downtrend periods

**Backtested Strategy**: - **BUY**: When 8MA reverses from a trough (especially below 23%) - **SELL**: When 200MA forms a peak (typically near/above 73%) - **Result**: Historically high performance, avoids bear markets

### Chart 2: US Stock Market - Uptrend Stock Ratio

**Purpose**: Short-term tactical timing and swing trading

**Key Elements**: - **Uptrend Stock Definition**: Stocks above 200MA/50MA/20MA with positive 1-month performance - **Green Regions**: Market in uptrend phase - **Red Regions**: Market in downtrend phase - **~10% Level (Lower Orange Dashed)**: Short-term bottom, extreme oversold - **~40% Level (Upper Orange Dashed)**: Short-term top, market overheating

**Swing Trading Strategy**: - **ENTER LONG**: When color changes from red to green (especially from <10-15% levels) - **EXIT LONG**: When color changes from green to red (especially from >35-40% levels) - **Timeframe**: Days to weeks

## Analysis Workflow

### Step 1: Receive Chart Images and Prepare Analysis

When the user provides breadth chart images for analysis:

1. Confirm receipt of chart image(s) 2. Identify which chart(s) are provided: - Chart 1 only (200MA Breadth) - Chart 2 only (Uptrend Ratio) - Both charts 3. Note any specific focus areas or questions from the user 4. Proceed with systematic analysis

**Language Note**: All subsequent thinking, analysis, and output will be in English.

### Step 2: Load Breadth Chart Methodology

Before beginning analysis, read the comprehensive breadth chart methodology:

``` Read: references/breadth_chart_methodology.md ```

This reference contains detailed guidance on: - Chart 1: 200MA-based breadth index interpretation and strategy - Chart 2: Uptrend stock ratio interpretation and strategy - Signal identification and threshold significance - Strategy rules and risk management - Combining both charts for optimal decision-making - Common pitfalls to avoid

### Step 3: Examine Sample Charts (First Time or for Reference)

To understand the chart format and visual elements, review the sample charts included in this skill:

``` View: assets/SP500_Breadth_Index_200MA_8MA.jpeg View: assets/US_Stock_Market_Uptrend_Ratio.jpeg ```

These samples demonstrate: - Visual appearance and structure of each chart type - How signals and thresholds are displayed - Color coding and marker systems - Historical patterns and cycles

### Step 4: Analyze Chart 1 (200MA-Based Breadth Index)

If Chart 1 is provided, conduct systematic analysis:

#### 4.1 Extract Current Readings

From the chart image, identify: - **Current 8MA level** (orange line): Specific percentage - **Current 200MA level** (green line): Specific percentage - **8MA slope**: Rising, falling, or flat - **200MA slope**: Rising, falling, or flat - **Distance from 73% threshold**: How close to overheating - **Distance from 23% threshold**: How close to extreme oversold - **Most recent date** visible on the chart

#### 4.1.5 CRITICAL: Latest Data Point Detailed Trend Analysis

**This step is MANDATORY to avoid misreading recent trend changes.**

**CRITICAL WARNING**: Charts can be deceptive. The MAJORITY of analysis errors occur because the analyst: 1. Confuses the 8MA (orange) with the 200MA (green) 2. Reads historical trends instead of the CURRENT rightmost data points 3. Misidentifies which line is rising vs falling

**BEFORE analyzing trend direction, FIRST confirm line colors**: - ✓ **8MA = ORANGE line** (fast-moving, more volatile) - ✓ **200MA = GREEN line** (slow-moving, smoother) - If unsure which is which, STOP and re-examine the chart legend/colors

Focus intensively on the **rightmost 3-5 data points** of the chart (most recent weeks):

**For 8MA (Orange Line) - Analyze the very latest trajectory**: 1. **Identify the absolute latest position**: Where is the 8MA at the rightmost edge of the chart? 2. **Trace back 3-5 data points** (approximately 3-5 weeks): - What was the 8MA level 1 week ago? - What was the 8MA level 2 weeks ago? - What was the 8MA level 3 weeks ago? 3. **Calculate the directional change**: - Is the latest value HIGHER or LOWER than 1 week ago? - Is the latest value HIGHER or LOWER than 2 weeks ago? - What is the trend: consistently rising, consistently falling, or mixed? 4. **Determine the CURRENT slope** (not historical slope): - **Rising**: Latest data point is higher than previous 2-3 points AND shows upward curvature - **Falling**: Latest data point is lower than previous 2-3 points AND shows downward curvature - **Flat**: Latest data point is approximately equal to previous points (within 2-3%)

**Critical Questions to Answer**: - [ ] Is the 8MA currently moving UP or DOWN at the rightmost edge? - [ ] If there was a recent trough, has the 8MA **sustained** the upward move, or has it rolled over? - [ ] Count consecutive periods of increase: How many consecutive periods has 8MA risen? (Need 2-3 for confirmation) - [ ] Count consecutive periods of decrease: How many consecutive periods has 8MA fallen? (Indicates failed reversal if declining after trough)

**For 200MA (Green Line) - Analyze the very latest trajectory**: 1. **Identify the absolute latest position**: Where is the 200MA at the rightmost edge? 2. **Trace back 4-6 weeks**: - What was the 200MA level 2 weeks ago? - What was the 200MA level 4 weeks ago? 3. **Determine the CURRENT slope**: - Is it rising, falling, or flat in the most recent period?

**Failed Reversal Detection** (CRITICAL): If an 8MA trough (purple ▼) was recently identified: - [ ] Did the 8MA rise for only 1-2 periods and then turn back down? - [ ] Did the 8MA fail to reach 60% before turning down? - [ ] Is the 8MA currently declining again after the bounce? - **If YES to any**: This is a **FAILED REVERSAL** - DO NOT ENTER, signal is INVALID

**Example Analysis Format**: ``` Latest 8MA Data Points (rightmost to left): - Current (Week 0): 48% - 1 week ago: 52% - 2 weeks ago: 55% - 3 weeks ago: 50%

Analysis: 8MA is FALLING. It rose from 50% to 55% (weeks 3-2), but has since declined to 48%. This shows a failed reversal pattern - bounce was temporary, downtrend has resumed. SLOPE: Falling (not rising!) ```

**MANDATORY CROSS-CHECK** (to catch misreadings): After determining the trend, ask yourself: - [ ] "If I claimed 8MA is RISING, but it's actually been FALLING for weeks, what would that look like?" - Answer: The rightmost data points would be LOWER than previous points (confirming FALLING) - [ ] "Does my analysis match the visual slope of the orange line at the rightmost edge?" - If orange line visually slopes DOWN at the right edge → It's FALLING - If orange line visually slopes UP at the right edge → It's RISING - [ ] "Is there any pink background shading (downtrend) near the rightmost edge?" - If YES → This confirms downtrend conditions, 8MA is likely FALLING - [ ] "Are the 8MA and 200MA converging (getting closer) or diverging?" - Converging from below → Potential death cross forming → BEARISH - Converging from above → Potential golden cross forming → BULLISH

#### 4.2 Identify Signal Markers

Look for and document: - **Most recent 8MA trough (purple ▼)**: Date and level - **Most recent 200MA trough (blue ▼)**: Date and level (if visible in timeframe) - **Most recent 200MA peak (red ▲)**: Date and level - **Days/weeks since most recent signals** - **Any pink background shading** (downtrend periods)

#### 4.3 Assess Market Regime

Based on readings and patterns, classify the current market as: - Healthy Bull Market - Overheated Bull Market - Market Top/Distribution Phase - Bear Market/Correction - Capitulation/Extreme Oversold - Early Recovery

Support the classification with specific evidence from the chart.

#### 4.4 Determine Strategy Position

Apply the backtested strategy rules with STRICT confirmation requirements:

**Check for BUY signal** (ALL criteria must be met): 1. ✓ **Trough Formation**: Has 8MA formed a clear trough (purple ▼)? 2. ✓ **Reversal Initiated**: Has 8MA begun to move upward from the trough? 3. ✓ **Confirmation Achieved**: Has 8MA risen for 2-3 CONSECUTIVE periods after the trough? 4. ✓ **No Recent Reversal**: Based on Step 4.1.5 analysis, is 8MA CURRENTLY rising (not falling)? 5. ✓ **Sustained Move**: Has 8MA maintained the upward trajectory without rolling over? 6. ⭐ **Optional but Strong**: Is 8MA below or near 23% (extreme oversold) at trough?

**BUY Signal Status**: - **CONFIRMED**: All 5 required criteria met → ENTER LONG - **DEVELOPING**: Trough formed, but < 2-3 consecutive increases → WAIT, MONITOR - **FAILED**: Trough formed, but 8MA has rolled over and is declining → DO NOT ENTER, WAIT FOR NEXT TROUGH - **NO SIGNAL**: No trough formed → WAIT

**Check for SELL signal**: - Has 200MA formed a peak (red ▲)? - Is 200MA near or above 73%? - Is this an active sell signal requiring position exit?

**Current position determination**: - **Long**: BUY signal confirmed, position entered and held - **Preparing to Enter**: BUY signal developing (trough formed, watching for confirmation) - **WAIT / Flat**: No valid signal OR failed reversal detected - **Preparing to Exit**: SELL signal developing (200MA approaching peak)

#### 4.5 Develop Scenarios

Create 2-3 scenarios with probability estimates: - Base case scenario (highest probability) - Alternative scenario(s) - Each scenario includes: description, supporting factors, strategy implications, key levels

### Step 5: Analyze Chart 2 (Uptrend Stock Ratio)

If Chart 2 is provided, conduct systematic analysis:

#### 5.1 Extract Current Readings

From the chart image, identify: - **Current uptrend stock ratio**: Specific percentage - **Current color**: Green (uptrend) or Red (downtrend) - **Ratio slope**: Rising, falling, or flat - **Distance from 10% threshold**: How close to extreme oversold - **Distance from 40% threshold**: How close to overbought - **Most recent date** visible on the chart

#### 5.2 Identify Trend Transitions

Look for and document: - **Most recent red-to-green transition**: Date and ratio level at transition - **Most recent green-to-red transition**: Date and ratio level at transition - **Duration of current color phase**: How long in current trend - **Days/weeks since most recent transition**

#### 5.3 Assess Market Condition

Based on current ratio and color, classify as: - Extreme Oversold (<10%) - Moderate Bearish (10-20%, red) - Neutral/Transitional (20-30%) - Moderate Bullish (30-37%, green) - Extreme Overbought (>37-40%)

Support the classification with specific evidence from the chart.

#### 5.4 Determine Trading Position

Apply the swing trading strategy rules:

**Check for ENTER LONG signal**: - Has color changed from red to green? - Was the transition from an oversold level (<15%)? - Is the transition confirmed (2-3 days of green)?

**Check for EXIT LONG signal**: - Has color changed from green to red? - Was the transition from an overbought level (>35%)? - Is momentum weakening?

**Current position**: Long, Flat, Preparing to Enter, or Preparing to Exit

#### 5.5 Develop Scenarios

Create 2-3 scenarios with probability estimates: - Base case scenario (highest probability) - Alternative scenario(s) - Each scenario includes: description, supporting factors, trading implications, key levels

### Step 6: Combined Analysis (When Both Charts Provided)

If both charts are provided, integrate the strategic and tactical perspectives:

#### 6.1 Alignment Assessment

Create a positioning matrix: - **Chart 1 (Strategic)**: Bullish / Bearish / Neutral + signal status - **Chart 2 (Tactical)**: Bullish / Bearish / Neutral + signal status - **Combined Implication**: How do they align or conflict?

#### 6.2 Scenario Classification

Determine which of the four scenarios applies:

**Scenario 1: Both Bullish** - Chart 1: 8MA rising, 200MA not yet peaked - Chart 2: Green (uptrend), ratio rising from oversold - Implication: Maximum bullish stance, aggressive positioning

**Scenario 2: Strategic Bullish, Tactical Bearish** - Chart 1: 8MA rising, 200MA not yet peaked - Chart 2: Red (downtrend), ratio falling or elevated - Implication: Hold core long positions, wait for tactical entry

**Scenario 3: Strategic Bearish, Tactical Bullish** - Chart 1: 200MA peaked or declining - Chart 2: Green (uptrend), ratio rising - Implication: Short-term tactical trades only, tight stops

**Scenario 4: Both Bearish** - Chart 1: Both MAs declining - Chart 2: Red (downtrend), ratio falling - Implication: Defensive positioning, cash or shorts

#### 6.3 Unified Recommendation

Provide integrated positioning guidance for: - **Long-term investors** (based primarily on Chart 1) - **Swing traders** (based primarily on Chart 2) - **Active tactical traders** (based on combination)

Address any conflicts between charts and explain resolution.

### Step 7: Generate Analysis Report in English

Create a comprehensive markdown report using the template structure:

``` Read and use as template: assets/breadth_analysis_template.md ```

**IMPORTANT**: All analysis and output must be in English.

The report structure varies based on which chart(s) are analyzed:

**If Chart 1 only**: - Executive Summary - Chart 1 full analysis sections - Summary and Conclusion - Omit Chart 2 and Combined Analysis sections

**If Chart 2 only**: - Executive Summary - Chart 2 full analysis sections - Summary and Conclusion - Omit Chart 1 and Combined Analysis sections

**If Both Charts**: - Executive Summary - Chart 1 full analysis sections - Chart 2 full analysis sections - Combined Analysis section (mandatory) - Summary and Conclusion

**File Naming Convention**: Save each analysis as: - Chart 1 only: `breadth_200ma_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md` - Chart 2 only: `uptrend_ratio_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md` - Both charts: `breadth_combined_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md`

### Step 8: Quality Assurance

Before finalizing the report, verify:

1. ✓ **Language**: All content is in English (thinking and output) 2. ✓ **Line Color Verification**: Explicitly confirmed 8MA = ORANGE, 200MA = GREEN before trend analysis 3. ✓ **Latest Data Trend Analysis**: Step 4.1.5 was thoroughly completed - the most recent 3-5 data points were analyzed to determine CURRENT trend direction 4. ✓ **Trend Direction Accuracy**: The stated 8MA slope (Rising/Falling/Flat) accurately reflects the RIGHTMOST data points, not historical movement 5. ✓ **Cross-Check Completed**: MANDATORY CROSS-CHECK questions were answered to confirm trend direction matches visual slope 6. ✓ **Death/Golden Cross Check**: If 8MA and 200MA are converging, explicitly identified whether death cross or golden cross is forming 7. ✓ **Failed Reversal Check**: If a trough was identified, explicitly verified whether the reversal sustained or failed by analyzing latest trajectory 8. ✓ **Specific Values**: All readings include specific percentages/levels, not vague descriptions 9. ✓ **Signal Status**: Clear identification of active signals (CONFIRMED BUY / DEVELOPING / FAILED / SELL / WAIT) 10. ✓ **Strategy Alignment**: Recommendations align with backtested strategies and confirmation requirements 11. ✓ **Probabilities**: Scenario probabilities sum to 100% 12. ✓ **Actionable**: Clear positioning recommendations for different trader types 13. ✓ **Context**: Historical comparison and reference to similar past situations 14. ✓ **Risk Management**: Invalidation levels and risk factors clearly stated

**FINAL SANITY CHECK**: - [ ] If report claims "BUY signal" or "8MA rising", confirm this doesn't contradict user's chart showing death cross or downtrend - [ ] If report claims "bullish", confirm there's no pink background shading or death cross visible - [ ] If unsure about ANY trend direction, explicitly state uncertainty rather than guessing

## Quality Standards

### Objectivity Requirements

- Base all analysis strictly on observable chart data - Do not incorporate external information (news, fundamentals) unless specifically relevant - Use precise technical terminology consistently - Distinguish clearly between factual observations and probabilistic forecasts - Acknowledge uncertainty when signals are ambiguous

### Completeness Requirements

- Address all relevant sections of the analysis template - Provide specific numerical values for all key metrics - Justify probability estimates with technical factors - Include invalidation levels for each scenario - Compare current readings to historical patterns visible on the charts

### Clarity Requirements

- Write in professional, analytical English - Use clear section headings and structure - Present information in tables where appropriate - Make recommendations specific and actionable - Avoid jargon without explanation

### Strategy Adherence Requirements

- Apply backtested strategy rules correctly - Distinguish between strategic (Chart 1) and tactical (Chart 2) signals - Provide clear position status (Long/Flat/Entering/Exiting) - Include specific entry/exit levels when applicable - Address risk management (stop losses, position sizing)

## Example Usage Scenarios

### Example 1: Strategic Breadth Analysis (Chart 1 Only)

``` User: "Please analyze this S&P 500 breadth chart and tell me where we are in the market cycle." [Provides Chart 1 image: 200MA Breadth Index]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English): 1. Confirms receipt of Chart 1 (200MA-based breadth index) 2. Reads breadth_chart_methodology.md for Chart 1 guidance 3. Views sample chart for format reference 4. Extracts current readings: - 8MA: 68% - 200MA: 75% - 8MA slope: Flat to slightly declining - 200MA slope: Rising but may be forming peak - Distance from 73% threshold: +2% (above threshold = overheated) 5. Identifies signals: - Most recent 8MA trough: 3 months ago at 25% - Most recent 200MA peak: None visible yet, but 200MA at 75% suggests potential peak forming 6. Assesses regime: Overheated Bull Market approaching Distribution Phase 7. Determines strategy position: Long position should prepare to exit; watch for 200MA peak confirmation 8. Develops scenarios: - Base Case (55%): 200MA forms peak in next 1-2 weeks, sell signal activates - Alternative (35%): Further consolidation at elevated levels before eventual peak - Bear Case (10%): Immediate rollover without clear peak formation 9. Generates comprehensive report in English: breadth_200ma_analysis_2025-11-02.md ```

### Example 2: Tactical Uptrend Ratio Analysis (Chart 2 Only)

``` User: "Should I be buying or selling here? Analyze this uptrend ratio chart." [Provides Chart 2 image: Uptrend Stock Ratio]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English): 1. Confirms receipt of Chart 2 (Uptrend stock ratio) 2. Reads breadth_chart_methodology.md for Chart 2 guidance 3. Views sample chart for format reference 4. Extracts current readings: - Current ratio: 12% - Current color: Green (uptrend) - Ratio slope: Rising sharply - Just transitioned from red to green 3 days ago at 11% 5. Identifies transitions: - Most recent red-to-green: 3 days ago at 11% (from extreme oversold) - Prior green-to-red: 2 weeks ago at 28% 6. Assesses condition: Early in new uptrend from extreme oversold 7. Determines trading position: ENTER LONG signal active, excellent risk/reward 8. Develops scenarios: - Base Case (65%): Ratio continues higher to 30-35% over next 2-3 weeks - Alternative (25%): Choppy advance, consolidates around 20% before next leg - Bear Case (10%): False breakout, returns to red quickly 9. Generates tactical report in English: uptrend_ratio_analysis_2025-11-02.md ```

### Example 3: Combined Strategic + Tactical Analysis (Both Charts)

``` User: "Analyze both of these breadth charts and give me your overall market view." [Provides both Chart 1 and Chart 2 images]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English): 1. Confirms receipt of both charts 2. Reads full breadth_chart_methodology.md 3. Views both sample charts 4. Analyzes Chart 1: - 8MA: 55%, rising from trough 2 weeks ago at 30% - 200MA: 60%, still rising - Regime: Early Recovery to Healthy Bull Market - Strategy: Long position, hold 5. Analyzes Chart 2: - Ratio: 22%, green (uptrend) - Transitioned red-to-green 10 days ago from 14% - Condition: Moderate Bullish, building momentum - Trading: Hold long, entered on transition 6. Combined assessment: - Scenario 1: Both Bullish ✓ - Strategic: Bullish (8MA reversal confirmed) - Tactical: Bullish (uptrend established from oversold) - Alignment: Strong alignment = Maximum conviction 7. Unified recommendation: - Long-term investors: Aggressive long positioning, core holdings - Swing traders: Hold longs entered on red-to-green, target 35%+ - Active traders: Full position, favorable environment for longs 8. Develops integrated scenarios with probabilities 9. Generates comprehensive combined report in English: breadth_combined_analysis_2025-11-02.md ```

## Common Analysis Errors and How to Avoid Them

### Error 1: Confusing 8MA with 200MA

**Symptom**: Report claims 8MA is rising when it's actually the 200MA that's rising

**Prevention**: - ALWAYS verify: 8MA = ORANGE, 200MA = GREEN - Check line volatility: 8MA moves faster with more volatility - If unsure, state: "Based on line color, I identify the [orange/green] line as [8MA/200MA]"

### Error 2: Reading Historical Trends Instead of Current Direction

**Symptom**: Report describes what happened 1-2 months ago, not what's happening NOW

**Prevention**: - Focus ONLY on rightmost 3-5 data points - Explicitly write: "At the CURRENT rightmost edge, 8MA is at X% and is [rising/falling]" - Ignore what happened in September if we're analyzing November

### Error 3: Missing Death Cross or Golden Cross Formation

**Symptom**: Report is bullish when 8MA and 200MA are about to death cross (bearish)

**Prevention**: - ALWAYS check: "Are 8MA and 200MA getting closer (converging) or further apart (diverging)?" - If converging with 8MA above 200MA → Potential death cross → BEARISH - If converging with 8MA below 200MA → Potential golden cross → BULLISH - Explicitly state: "8MA is currently [above/below] 200MA, and they are [converging/diverging]"

### Error 4: Ignoring Pink Background Shading

**Symptom**: Report claims bullish setup when chart shows pink downtrend background

**Prevention**: - Check for pink shading at the rightmost edge - Pink background = Downtrend period = Bearish conditions - If pink shading present, report MUST acknowledge bearish conditions

### Error 5: Claiming Reversal Too Early

**Symptom**: Report says "BUY signal confirmed" after only 1 week of increase

**Prevention**: - Require 2-3 CONSECUTIVE weeks of 8MA increase for confirmation - If only 1 week: Signal is "DEVELOPING", not "CONFIRMED" - If 8MA rises then falls again: Signal is "FAILED", not valid

## Resources

This skill includes the following bundled resources:

### references/breadth_chart_methodology.md

Comprehensive methodology covering: - **Chart 1 (200MA Breadth)**: Components, interpretation, market regimes, backtested strategy, analysis checklist - **Chart 2 (Uptrend Ratio)**: Components, interpretation, market conditions, swing trading strategy, analysis checklist - **Combined Analysis**: Alignment scenarios, integrated decision-making - **Common Pitfalls**: Mistakes to avoid for each chart type

**Usage**: Read this file before conducting any breadth chart analysis to ensure systematic, accurate interpretation.

### assets/breadth_analysis_template.md

Structured template for breadth analysis reports in English: - Executive Summary - Chart 1 analysis sections (if applicable) - Chart 2 analysis sections (if applicable) - Combined Analysis section (when both charts analyzed) - Summary and Conclusion - All sections include tables, checklists, and structured formats

**Usage**: Use this template structure for every analysis report. Adapt sections based on which chart(s) are being analyzed.

### assets/SP500_Breadth_Index_200MA_8MA.jpeg

Sample Chart 1 image showing: - 8-day MA (orange) and 200-day MA (green) lines - Threshold levels (73% red dashed, 23% blue dashed) - Signal markers (triangles for troughs and peaks) - Pink background downtrend shading - Historical patterns from 2016-2025

**Usage**: Reference this sample to understand Chart 1 visual format and identify similar patterns in user-provided charts.

### assets/US_Stock_Market_Uptrend_Ratio.jpeg

Sample Chart 2 image showing: - Green and red color-coded trend phases - Uptrend ratio percentage on y-axis - Threshold levels (~10% and ~40% orange dashed lines) - Short-term momentum patterns - Historical patterns from 2023-2025

**Usage**: Reference this sample to understand Chart 2 visual format and identify similar patterns in user-provided charts.

## Special Notes

### Language Requirement

**CRITICAL**: All analysis, thinking, and output MUST be in English. This includes: - Internal analysis and reasoning - Report generation - Tables and data presentation - Scenario descriptions - Recommendations

Do not translate or use any other language. The user expects English output exclusively.

### Strategy Focus

This skill emphasizes backtested, systematic strategies rather than discretionary interpretation. Always: - Apply the strategy rules as documented - Reference historical performance patterns - Provide specific entry/exit criteria - Include risk management guidance

### Practical Application

The goal is actionable intelligence. Every analysis should answer: - **Strategic**: Should I be long, flat, or short the market over the medium term? - **Tactical**: Should I enter or exit positions in the short term? - **Timing**: When should I act, and at what levels? - **Risk**: What would invalidate this view, and where should stops be?